Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.156894 0.176988 0.198119 0.221943 0.248002 0.275588 0.306942
2025-03-23 0.132275 0.159665 0.189985 0.225856 0.266944 0.312347 0.366114
2025-03-30 0.111780 0.143332 0.179873 0.224933 0.278589 0.340020 0.415225
2025-04-06 0.095987 0.130129 0.171331 0.224049 0.288995 0.365652 0.462174
2025-04-13 0.083306 0.118998 0.163748 0.222967 0.298176 0.389365 0.507029
2025-04-20 0.074551 0.111719 0.159962 0.225751 0.311568 0.418073 0.558411
2025-04-27 0.068500 0.107249 0.159146 0.231838 0.328918 0.451867 0.616821
2025-05-04 0.061587 0.100774 0.154926 0.232802 0.339207 0.476614 0.664160
2025-05-11 0.057149 0.097319 0.154407 0.238439 0.355573 0.509404 0.722487
2025-05-18 0.053311 0.094314 0.154157 0.244188 0.372028 0.542541 0.781927
2025-05-25 0.047902 0.088337 0.149064 0.242574 0.377971 0.561507 0.822798
2025-06-01 0.043528 0.083533 0.145277 0.242452 0.385734 0.582878 0.867148
2025-06-08 0.039150 0.078384 0.140703 0.241041 0.391780 0.602371 0.909996
2025-06-15 0.036735 0.076294 0.140696 0.246405 0.407727 0.635982 0.973007
2025-06-22 0.033385 0.072222 0.137188 0.246090 0.415127 0.657580 1.019690
2025-06-29 0.030339 0.068364 0.133708 0.245524 0.421969 0.678391 1.065587
2025-07-06 0.027539 0.064653 0.130169 0.244578 0.428042 0.698081 1.110170
2025-07-13 0.025686 0.062557 0.129212 0.247701 0.440387 0.727137 1.168721
2025-07-20 0.024534 0.061725 0.130379 0.254328 0.458348 0.764846 1.240523
2025-07-27 0.022657 0.059212 0.128346 0.255407 0.467455 0.789447 1.293573
2025-08-03 0.021628 0.058362 0.129260 0.261501 0.484715 0.826650 1.365841
2025-08-10 0.020681 0.057588 0.130241 0.267703 0.502271 0.864621 1.439905
2025-08-17 0.018830 0.054604 0.126829 0.265974 0.506693 0.882466 1.484143